New Delhi: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) today predicted that the country would witness above-normal rainfall as a whole during this monsoon season.
In a press meet, IMD Director General of Meteorology (DGM) Dr. Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said that the country would receive 106 percent of the long-period average rainfall of 87 cm during the entire monsoon season of this year.
Have a look at the highlights of IMD’s forecast:
- Quantitatively, the southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of ±4%, indicating that above normal rainfall is most likely over the country as a whole during the monsoon season (June to September), 2025.
- The southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September, 2025) rainfall is most likely to be above normal over Central India and South Peninsular India (>106% of LPA), normal over Northwest India (92-108% of LPA) and below normal over Northeast India (<94% of LPA).
- The southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall over the Monsoon Core Zone (MCZ) consisting of most of the rainfed agriculture areas in the country is most likely to be above normal (>106% of LPA).
- During June to September 2025, normal to above normal rainfall is very likely over most parts of the country except some areas of Northwest and East India and many areas of Northeast India where below normal rainfall is very likely.
- The average rainfall for the country as a whole during June 2005 is most likely to be above normal (>108% of the Long Period Average (LPA)).
- During June 2025, Normal to above normal monthly rainfall is very likely over most parts of the country, except some southern parts of peninsular India and parts of Northwest and Northeast India, where below normal rainfall is likely.
- In June 2025, normal to below normal monthly maximum temperatures are likely over most parts of the country, except many regions of the Northwest India and Northeast India, where above normal temperatures are very likely. Above-normal monthly minimum temperatures are likely across most parts of the country, except some parts of Central India and adjoining south Peninsula where, where normal to below-normal minimum temperatures are very likely.
- Currently, neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific region. The latest Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System (MMCFS) as well as other climate model forecasts indicate that the neutral ENSO conditions are likely to continue during the monsoon season.
- At present, neutral Indian Ocean Dipole ((OD) conditions are observed over the Indian Ocean. The latest MMCFS forecast indicates that a weak negative IOD conditions are likely to develop during the southwest monsoon season.
The IMD DGM also forecasted that monsoon likely to arrive early in Odisha this year. Usually, the monsoon onset in Odisha takes place by June 12 or June 14, however, this year, it is likely to arrive earlier and the exact date of the arrival of monsoon in the state can be announced in a couple of days, he said.
